The B.C. governmentās latest adjustment of speed limits on rural highways is a case study in how modern politics and media run over the facts and leave them on the side of the road.
You may have heard that in early November, speed limit increases were rolled back on 14 of the 33 segments of rural B.C. highway where they were increased by 10 km/h in 2014. You probably didnāt hear that 16 other sections were left as is, because the accident rate didnāt go up with increased limits.
In some cases, speed measurement showed the higher speed limit resulted in average travel speed, and accidents, going down. Across the province, exceeding the posted speed limit was determined by police to be an insignificant factor in collisions.
For all segments with increased speed limits, the biggest factor by far in three years of police collision reports is ādriver inattentiveā at 25 per cent. Thatās followed by āroad conditionsā (15 per cent), ādriving too fast for conditionsā (13 per cent), āfell asleepā (five per cent) and āwild animalā (four per cent). Exceeding the posted speed limit was tied with impaired driving at two per cent each.
These are the facts that werenāt allowed to get in the way of a juicy political story.
Transportation Minister Claire Trevena mostly stuck to her script, but savoured her days as an opposition critic, attacking then-minister Todd Stone for his allegedly irresponsible decision to increase speed limits. Trevena allowed that it was āshockingā that accidents increased by 17 per year on her home stretch of highway, from Parksville to Campbell River, after not changing at all the first year after the increase.
And sure enough, it was Stone who faced a wall of TV cameras and demands that he explain how he could be so reckless as to increase speed limits.
Iām guilty of feeding this narrative too. It was I who in 2014 revealed that āHot Rod Todd,ā as he was known, once got (gasp) a speeding ticket on the Coquihalla! Thatās why the speed limit for the Coquihalla was raised to the unprecedented 120 km/h, so the minister could blast back and forth to his Kamloops home!
The story practically writes itself, but like most coffee shop wisdom, itās bunk. As it turns out, the Coquihalla speed limit stays at 120. As Stone pointed out, it remains among the safest highways in the province.
One obvious factor in this three-year period is the winter of 2016-17, the coldest on record for Metro Vancouver and large parts of southern B.C. And last winter featured heavy snow.
Harsh winter weather may explain why drivers slowed down on some stretches of road where speed limits had been increased. Anyone with highway driving experience knows that whatever the posted limit, the majority of responsible drivers choose how fast they will go.
Transportation ministry engineers use a measure called ā85th percentile speeds,ā which they define as āa representation of the speed at which reasonable and prudent drivers choose to travel.ā
Itās important to understand this, as the province and its taxpayers wrestle with the soaring costs of accidents and ICBC claims. Calling the corporationās financial situation a ādumpster fireā over and over again is easy for reporters, and great politics for Attorney General David Eby, but it doesnāt get anyone closer to solutions.
Our highways are safer, vehicles are safer, driver training is more rigorous, and yet costly accidents continue to increase.
Tom Fletcher is B.C. legislature reporter and columnist for Black Press Media. Email: tfletcher@blackpress.ca
2/2: ... and here are the roads where increasing speed limits correlates with fewer collisions, and speed limits are being left as they are
ā Tom Fletcher (@tomfletcherbc)
tfletcher@blackpress.ca
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